The mortgage market
What rates are banks offering?
The cheapest two-year fixed re-mortgage rates have dipped below 5 per cent for the first time since July. Lenders including Yorkshire Building Society, Virgin Money, the Bank of Ireland all offering sub 5 per cent rates. With the best re-mortgage deal currently available at 4.49 percent.
Stick or twist?
Is fixing into a 5 year mortgage a gamble?
Inflation fell to 4.6 per cent in October, a big drop on the 6.7 per cent recorded in September.
With inflation forecasted to continue falling over the coming months, this will remove the core reason for the base rate rising in the first place.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley have already forecast that interest rates will be cut as soon as May next year and fall to 4.25 per cent by the end of 2024.
Mortgage lenders change their fixed mortgage rates on the back of expected funding costs, which are ultimately tied into the market’s predictions about how high the base rate will ultimately go, and this is in turn closely linked to the outlook for inflation.
Swap rates have fallen in response to the inflation data, with five-year swaps falling from 4.27 per cent to 4.12 and two-year swaps falling from 4.78 per cent to 4.66 per cent since Monday.
With swap rates reducing lenders will be fighting to onboard homeowners, analysts predict there is a real chance that we could see a sub 4 per cent five-year fix this side of Christmas, and a two-year below 4.5 per cent also.